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DAILY MARKET REVIEW


May 23rd 2013



OVERVIEW

Private-sector activity in the 17-nation euro zone continued to shrink in May, albeit at a slower pace than in previous months, according to the preliminary Market composite purchasing managers' index released on Thursday.The Stoxx Europe 600 index slumped 1.5% to 305.96, retreating after closing at the highest level since June 2008, reached on Wednesday.Banks posted some of the biggest losses, with Royal Bank of Scotland Group, Commerzbank and BNP Paribas to name a few.



The Nikkei Stock Average JP:NIK -7.32%  , which had jumped 2% earlier on Thursday, ended the day 7.3% lower at 14,483.98 in a spectacular turnaround. The drop is the Nikkei’s worst single-day loss since March 15, 2011, when the market was overwhelmed by selling in the wake of a calamitous earthquake and tsunami. The benchmark’s closing level was nearly 1,460 points from the day’s peak.



U.S. stock market futures fell sharply Thursday, as fears over a tapering of the Federal Reserve’s bond-buying program continued to play out. Those worries and weak China data led to heavy losses for global stocks, with Japan equities suffering their biggest one-day loss in more than two years.Data will also be key for investors, with U.S. jobless claims expected to drop back down after a surprising spike the prior week, sales of new family homes, and house prices.Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 146 points, while those for the Standard & Poor’s 500 index slid close to 20 points. Futures for the Nasdaq 100 index fell 35.50 points.



Gold futures rose sharply Thursday, as the dollar dropped against the Japanese yen amid spectacular losses for stocks in Tokyo. Hints of a tapering of stimulus efforts by the U.S. Federal Reserve in coming months and downbeat China data contributed to a Japan stock plunge.Gold futures for delivery in June jumped nearly $18, or 1.3%, to sell for $1,385.50 an ounce in electronic trading.



TECHNICAL ANALYSIS


EURUSD

The pair has been trading lower on Wednesday, because the market was concerned about QE.  The pair closed its first negative day during the week, rebounding from resistance at 1.3000. It has broken support at 1.2900 closing near 1.2850. Immediate bias now is bearish.

USDJPY
Yesterday the pair closed at 103.11. It has been trading in the range 102.69 – 103.74.  The dip of Nikkei is without a doubt one of the biggest events today. It is hard to underestimate its impact on the Yen. That’s why at the moment the Yen is rapidly approaching 101. Some analysts believe that this level is not the limit on the downside today.

GBPUSD
Currencies of the states where soft monetary policy will continue longer (Euro, Pound, and Yen) are suffering a lot. It is happening against the background of FRS readiness to strengthen its policy. Crucial support for the Pound is at 1.5000. 





ECONOMIC CALENDAR

01:45  CNY   Chinese HSBC Manufacturing PMI  
05:00  JPY   BoJ Monthly Report  
06:58  EUR   French Manufacturing PMI    
07:28  EUR   German Manufacturing PMI    
07:58  EUR   Manufacturing PMI    
08:30  GBP   Business Investment (QoQ)    
08:30  GBP   GDP (QoQ)    
08:30  GBP   GDP (YoY)    
10:05  USD   FOMC Member Bullard Speaks    
12:00  BRL   Brazilian Unemployment Rate
12:30  USD   Continuing Jobless Claims  
12:30  USD   Initial Jobless Claims  
13:00  ZAR   South African Interest Rate Decision  
14:00  USD   New Home Sales  
19:30  EUR   ECB President Draghi Speaks    
22:45  NZD   Trade Balance

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